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Prediction markets for SEB

Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027?

Apr 21, 2:05 PMOct 20, 11:59 PM

5.09%chance

366829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3425

735

LinusTechTips (Linus G Sebastien) Stock (permanent)

Nov 18, 6:07 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

251140

OptionProbability

YES

NO

514

441

Will "Our response to Séb Krier on Plan A" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 14, 11:19 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

7.37%chance

4866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1850

905

Who will be the first person to climb a 5.16a/9c+ sport route?

Apr 30, 6:23 PMDec 31, 7:21 PM

7781

OptionProbability

Adam Ondra

Other

Seb Bouin

Jakob Schubert

37

28

18

18

Will DNA be the first sport climb confirmed 9c?

May 22, 10:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.12%chance

7297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

52

Will the second ascentionist of Seb Bouin's DNA agree with the 9c grade?

Apr 14, 9:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.33%chance

9170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

281

243

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