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Prediction markets for Second Senate

Who will be Donald Trump’s Secretary of Labor?

Nov 6, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

127051

OptionProbability

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Patrick Pizzella

Bryan Slater

Other

99

0

0

0

Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2025?

May 6, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.48%chance

102735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3522

287

Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Pete Hegseth?

Apr 21, 8:52 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

41.06%chance

342484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Donald Trump be impeached at least once during his second term?

Feb 8, 12:55 AMJan 20, 5:00 PM

58.92%chance

301580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

90

Will the Democratic and Republican parties still be the two main parties by 2032?

Apr 24, 2:29 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.43%chance

13621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1393

893

Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?

Apr 25, 11:04 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

6483

OptionProbability

Kevin Warsh

Someone else

Kevin Hassett

Larry Kudlow

Judy Shelton

Arthur Laffer

30

19

15

15

14

8

Will trump somehow be president for more than 8 years?

Jul 1, 5:27 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

10.05%chance

7467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

299

33

Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?

Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

59.42%chance

5410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

826

Will JD Vance be impeached and removed during Trump's second term?

Nov 6, 7:55 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

8.26%chance

4305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

333

30

Did Barack Obama Mandela serve in the IDF during the Second Intifada?

Dec 29, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.55%chance

2216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

78

Will Majorie Taylor Greene get nominated for Chief of Space Operations during Trump’s second term?

Nov 14, 2:21 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

14.33%chance

10200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

41

California AB 609 passes?

Apr 28, 3:11 PMDec 31, 4:09 PM

72.99%chance

464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

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