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Prediction markets for Secretary

Will the next White House Press Secretary after Katie Zachariah be a blonde woman?

Oct 16, 7:51 PMNov 14, 11:00 PM

33.13%chance

20321480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1575

448

If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027

Nov 17, 4:34 PMDec 25, 7:59 AM

85416

OptionProbability

96.5%-97.49%

Below 94%

95.5%-96.49%

97.5% or above

94%-95.49%

30

21

21

14

13

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.09%chance

423983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1202

1000

Next WH Press Secretary a Woman?

Nov 4, 5:18 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

50.38%chance

82819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

444

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.53%chance

212298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1686

304

During the next Labour government, will there be a Foreign Secretary serving from the House of Lords?

Apr 17, 4:51 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13.99%chance

161715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1810

784

Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?

Nov 30, 12:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

74.33%chance

181556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

956

Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?

Mar 10, 7:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.7%chance

271177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

1057

Will China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?

Apr 8, 1:58 PMAug 8, 9:59 PM

12.53%chance

321169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1634

846

If confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029?

Mar 20, 5:04 AMJan 19, 12:00 AM

46.47%chance

12392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1166

828

Will there be a woman secretary of the United Nations before the end of 2045?

Apr 1, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.61%chance

14333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

892

Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?

Apr 13, 9:59 AMAug 8, 9:59 PM

36.42%chance

13191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

970

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