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Prediction markets for Securities Exchange

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.77%chance

498018

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7149

2219

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8.19%chance

167052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3379

301

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

486936

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

Worldwide Pandemic

55

37

32

14

10

8

7

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Dec 17, 1:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

254311

OptionProbability

$X

$STAR

$SPAX

$SX

$SEX

$MARS

$SPACE

Other

$SPC

58

13

10

5

4

4

2

2

1

Will Ukraine cede land to russia?

Dec 19, 4:47 AMDec 31, 5:02 AM

42%chance

272674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Will the United States and Iran sign a new official agreement by February 28, 2026?

Feb 2, 7:21 PMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

7%chance

191353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

720

84

Will Discord file for an IPO before 2027?

Jan 26, 10:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

93.43%chance

12787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

377

27

Ukraine war ends in 2026?

Nov 17, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.46%chance

18657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

77

When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]

Jan 12, 2:22 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

4242

OptionProbability

2025 Q4

2025 Q3

Other

2028 H2

2027 H2

2028 H1

2024 Q4

2025 Q2

2026 Q1

2027 H1

2025 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 H2

23

22

13

7

6

6

5

4

4

4

2

2

2

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Nov 20, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.09%chance

4145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Jul 3, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.97%chance

459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

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