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Prediction markets for Securities Exchange

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.84%chance

528586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6672

2629

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

5.04%chance

168052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4379

232

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497019

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

58

37

32

14

12

10

8

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

Will Ukraine cede land to russia?

Dec 19, 4:47 AMDec 31, 5:02 AM

46.5%chance

272705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

93

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026?

Mar 13, 11:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91367

OptionProbability

SpaceX

Cerebras

Jersey Mikes

Discord

Kraken

OpenAI

Anthropic

Databricks

Skims

Deel

Anduril

87

86

83

80

73

50

39

36

22

20

18

Will Discord file for an IPO before 2027?

Jan 26, 10:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

97.2%chance

15994

OptionVotes

NO

YES

589

17

Ukraine war ends in 2026?

Nov 17, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

22947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

Will bitcoin cash hit $600 before April?

Feb 24, 3:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

3.52%chance

11771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

524

19

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Nov 20, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.71%chance

5262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]

Jan 12, 2:22 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

4242

OptionProbability

2025 Q4

2025 Q3

Other

2028 H2

2027 H2

2028 H1

2024 Q4

2025 Q2

2026 Q1

2027 H1

2025 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 H2

23

22

13

7

6

6

5

4

4

4

2

2

2

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Jul 3, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.97%chance

459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

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