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Prediction markets for Securities Exchange

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.14%chance

9845903

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5632

4891

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

3.73%chance

208796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5123

199

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497048

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

57

34

32

14

12

10

8

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO in 2026?

Mar 13, 11:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

196791

OptionProbability

Cerebras

SpaceX

Jersey Mikes

Anthropic

OpenAI

Discord

Kraken

Skims

Deel

Databricks

Anduril

100

99

78

76

69

61

61

22

20

12

7

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

Clarity Act will pass in September

Jun 4, 1:00 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

33.64%chance

42768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1404

712

Will GameStop buy / aquire eBay until end of 2026?

May 4, 10:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.16%chance

131677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

360

28

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

10.61%chance

121596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1783

143

When will OpenAI hold its IPO?

Jun 9, 9:30 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

51426

OptionProbability

June 2027 or later

October 2026

November 2026

September 2026 or earlier

December 2026

January 2027

February 2027

March 2027

April 2027

May 2027

18

13

12

11

10

7

7

7

7

7

When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]

Jan 12, 2:22 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

4242

OptionProbability

2025 Q4

2025 Q3

Other

2028 H2

2027 H2

2028 H1

2024 Q4

2025 Q2

2026 Q1

2027 H1

2025 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 H2

23

22

13

7

6

6

5

4

4

4

2

2

2

Will the "not-security" ruling in SEC vs. Ripple be successfully appealed?

Jul 16, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

52

Will the CFTC clear Polymarket for US traders by end of 2027?

Jun 15, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.3%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

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