Securities Regulator News

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

When will the TSA update their security regulations to permit carrying liquid bottles over 300ml on commercial flights ?

Jan 26, 10:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

342027

OptionProbability

Other

2026

2032

2030

2031

2040

2036

2037

2025

2034

2038

2039

2028

2035

2027

2029

2033

2024

Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?

Jul 5, 11:39 AMJul 6, 11:33 AM

41.63%chance

242019

OptionVotes

YES

1184

845

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.93%chance

171609

OptionVotes

YES

1023

980

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

31920

OptionVotes

YES

1149

883

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Oct 30, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

13430

OptionVotes

YES

221

Ukraine holds elections in 2026?

Dec 29, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.66%chance

6332

OptionVotes

YES

144

Which solution becomes the most adopted response to the quantum threat in crypto?

Jan 26, 7:22 AMFeb 24, 11:59 PM

7200

OptionProbability

4. Decentralized post-quantum security networks (e.g., Naoris Protocol) • Attractive because security is network-verified, not key-verified. • Can overlay existing chains without requiring disruptive forks. • Provides instant scalability

5. No dominant solution by 2030 •The market remains fragmented. •PQC adoption varies across chains.

2. Hybrid classical–post-quantum cryptography • Popular interim solution. • Lower migration friction.

1. Post-quantum cryptographic upgrades (e.g., Dilithium, Falcon) • Backed by NIST selections, regulatory clarity. • High probability but hard to integrate into existing chains.

3. Hardware-based quantum-resistant security modules • Favored by regulated institutions. • Trusted execution environments, secure enclaves.

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9166

OptionVotes

YES

153

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Jan 5, 11:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.34%chance

399

OptionVotes

YES

105

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Jan 3, 5:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

46.54%chance

282

OptionVotes

YES

300

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

Apr 28, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.26%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

120

Securities Regulator News

Prediction markets for Securities Regulator

Prediction markets for Securities Regulator

Prediction markets for Securities Regulator

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

When will the TSA update their security regulations to permit carrying liquid bottles over 300ml on commercial flights ?

Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?

Ukraine holds elections in 2026?

Which solution becomes the most adopted response to the quantum threat in crypto?

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

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