OptionProbability
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
Other (10m+ deaths)
Worldwide Pandemic
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
62
32
31
14
12
10
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
12736
7852
3328
300
1137
920
4 - 5.99 GW
6 - 7.99 GW
2 - 3.99 GW
Above 10 GW
8 - 10 GW
0 - 1.99 GW
35
21
18
11
9
6
1100
977
100