OptionProbability
Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)
Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons
An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task
Other (10m+ deaths)
Worldwide Pandemic
350+ million climate-displaced persons annually
US Treasury payment default or missed obligation
57
34
32
14
12
10
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
13025
7677
3420
292
1101
951
4 - 5.99 GW
6 - 7.99 GW
2 - 3.99 GW
Above 10 GW
8 - 10 GW
0 - 1.99 GW
35
21
18
11
9
6
1015
943
110
91
