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Prediction markets for Security Score

2026 Winter Olympics Women's Figure Skating Champion

Jan 20, 8:53 PMFeb 22, 11:59 PM

71486

OptionProbability

Other

Kaori Sakamoto

Alysa Liu

Amber Glenn

Isabeau Levito

Niina Petrokina

32

26

19

13

5

5

Will America be a failed state by 2050?

Jan 23, 5:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

11533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

2026 Winter Olympics: Figure Skating Gold Medal Winner (W)

Jan 12, 12:12 PMFeb 16, 11:59 PM

3364

OptionProbability

Adeliia PETROSIAN (AIN)

Alysa LIU (USA)

Amber GLENN (USA)

Kaori SAKAMOTO (JPN)

Other

22

22

22

20

15

When will the average Women, Peace and Security Index score of all countries be 0.75?

Aug 21, 12:36 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6298

OptionProbability

Never

2036-2039

2044-2047

2048-2052

2053-2058

2040-2043

2032-2035

2059-2061

2062-2065

2066->2066

2029-2031

2025-2028

15

11

9

9

9

8

7

7

7

7

6

5

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

78.72%chance

10198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

957

Will any democratic nation implement a legal framework for compensating living organ donors by 2034?

Nov 8, 11:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

76.66%chance

4118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

103

What will the winning margin be in the Australia-Hong Kong game at the Men's Rugby World Cup?

Feb 3, 7:14 AMNov 13, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

13-21

22-34

35-55

56-89

More than 89

Less than 13

17

17

17

17

17

14

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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