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Prediction markets for See

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

67.39%chance

18591740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1690

319

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.75%chance

48190222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7361

4947

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21%chance

18649763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16534

8756

We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030

Feb 18, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.39%chance

19229785

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1604

922

Will Joe Biden live to see Grand Theft Auto 6?

Mar 31, 5:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.06%chance

11326591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8145

1361

Earliest date we will see credible claims that a new space data center is cheaper than its terrestrial counterpart?

Feb 5, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

129084

OptionProbability

>= 2046

2030-2031

2028-2029

2032-2033

2034-2035

2036-2037

2038-2039

2040-2041

2027

2042-2043

2044-2045

2026

15

10

9

9

9

9

9

8

7

7

6

3

Will Donald Trump live to see Hunter Biden spend a day in jail?

Jun 13, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.98%chance

346922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5872

1199

Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?

Nov 2, 10:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.47%chance

536467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2371

141

Will Elon Musk live to see Bitcoin reach $200K?

Mar 27, 8:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.34%chance

425810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3212

1576

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.56%chance

643010

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1456

945

5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.93%chance

8979

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1779

564

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