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Prediction markets for See

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Jan 21, 2:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

67.39%chance

18591740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1690

319

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.66%chance

48290312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7387

4939

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.26%chance

18854819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21432

7687

We will see a 100k person anti-AI protest before 2030

Feb 18, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.99%chance

19229814

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1684

893

Earliest date we will see credible claims that a new space data center is cheaper than its terrestrial counterpart?

Feb 5, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1615237

OptionProbability

2030-2031

2032-2033

2034-2035

2028-2029

2036-2037

>= 2046

2038-2039

2040-2041

2042-2043

2027

2044-2045

2026

16

16

16

10

9

9

5

5

5

4

4

2

Will an AI do Magic before EOY 2027? [See description]

Sep 11, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.15%chance

7612752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2279

439

2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:21 AMDec 29, 11:20 AM

18.49%chance

256659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2103

477

Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?

Nov 2, 10:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.47%chance

536467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2371

141

Will Elon Musk live to see Bitcoin reach $200K?

Mar 27, 8:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.76%chance

445945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2812

1657

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

325852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

735

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.56%chance

643010

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1456

945

5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.47%chance

101079

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1511

664

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