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Prediction markets for Segment

Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?

Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

4017145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16703

3098

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:45 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

35.26%chance

33550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13550

7380

🪦Who will be featured in the Oscars In Memoriam segment in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 1:04 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

4767

OptionProbability

Matt Clark

Dick van Dyke

Bruce Willis

Jack Nicholson

Clint Eastwood

Mel Brooks

William Shatner

90

52

34

34

34

22

22

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.98%chance

8721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

890

Will the California HSR complete the Fresno to San Jose segment by 2030?

Mar 13, 6:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.45%chance

10677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

484

71

🚅 Will the California High Speed Rail Initial Operating Segment open by 2030?

Oct 26, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.74%chance

7554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

496

44

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

47.33%chance

3551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10549

9480

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.52%chance

10472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1442

694

Will the SF to LA segment of the California HSR be completed by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.98%chance

5471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

5381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

734

Will the San Jose to San Francisco segment of the HSR be completed by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.39%chance

6173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

333

162

When will the Kakeya conjecture be proved or disproved?

Apr 7, 2:36 PMDec 31, 2:33 PM

00

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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