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Prediction markets for Segment

Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?

Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

4017145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16703

3098

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:45 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

77.05%chance

715802

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18321

5458

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

84.01%chance

513669

OptionVotes

NO

YES

22921

4363

Communist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?

Jan 30, 4:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.84%chance

6910962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2629

316

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.81%chance

151410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1929

519

🪦Who will be featured in the Oscars In Memoriam segment in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 1:04 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

4877

OptionProbability

Dick van Dyke

Bruce Willis

Jack Nicholson

Clint Eastwood

Matt Clark

Mel Brooks

William Shatner

70

50

50

50

50

37

22

Will the California HSR complete the Fresno to San Jose segment by 2030?

Mar 13, 6:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.45%chance

10677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

484

71

🚅 Will the California High Speed Rail Initial Operating Segment open by 2030?

Oct 26, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.74%chance

7554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

496

44

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.39%chance

8489

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1471

680

Will the SF to LA segment of the California HSR be completed by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.98%chance

5471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

Will the San Jose to San Francisco segment of the HSR be completed by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.39%chance

6173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

333

162

When will the Kakeya conjecture be proved or disproved?

Apr 7, 2:36 PMDec 31, 2:33 PM

00

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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