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Prediction markets for Segment

Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?

Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

4017145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16703

3098

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:45 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

35.26%chance

33550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13550

7380

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

111074

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

946

🪦Who will be featured in the Oscars In Memoriam segment in 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 16, 1:04 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

4877

Will the California HSR complete the Fresno to San Jose segment by 2030?

Mar 13, 6:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.45%chance

10677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

484

71

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.8%chance

12596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1521

658

🚅 Will the California High Speed Rail Initial Operating Segment open by 2030?

Oct 26, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.74%chance

7554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

496

44

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

47.33%chance

3551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10549

9480

Will the SF to LA segment of the California HSR be completed by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.98%chance

5471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

69

69

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.63%chance

6431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1413

708

Will the San Jose to San Francisco segment of the HSR be completed by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.39%chance

6173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

333

162

When will the Kakeya conjecture be proved or disproved?

Apr 7, 2:36 PMDec 31, 2:33 PM

00

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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