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Prediction markets for SEI
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?
Feb 26, 7:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5%chance
9756947
OptionVotes
1444
904
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
36.29%chance
7410673
OptionVotes
1174
870
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.49%chance
899968
OptionVotes
8768
5599
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
31.67%chance
322881
OptionVotes
1054
962
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?
Feb 26, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.18%chance
282693
OptionVotes
1017
488
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2027?
May 5, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.8%chance
192177
OptionVotes
603
17
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.57%chance
351802
OptionVotes
1473
830
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
25%chance
271267
OptionVotes
1221
906
Will Paul Seixas defeat Tadej Pogacar in any race during the 2026 season?
May 5, 4:10 AMOct 25, 10:59 PM
23.35%chance
111174
OptionVotes
1812
552
OptionVotes
1438
696
AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM
6.17%chance
12628
OptionVotes
1385
915
OptionProbability
42
22
16
9
6
5