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In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

84.53%chance

612543987

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6089

702

Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.43%chance

14057666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18795

6906

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?

Feb 20, 10:42 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87%chance

27143410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4674

1450

Will there be significant legal action against embryo selection in the US by 2028?

Apr 5, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.63%chance

252326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

556

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 30, 1:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.82%chance

19774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

961

Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 30, 1:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.75%chance

18579

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

749

Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?

Jan 13, 7:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.28%chance

12483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

894

Will the ending of one piece involve the strawhats (all or just a select few / just luffy) traveling to the past

Jun 10, 2:55 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.18%chance

6365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

737

Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?

Jun 30, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

16284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

965

Will Republicans support embryo selection for intelligence more than Democrats?

Jun 30, 1:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29%chance

14249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

971

Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 23, 1:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68%chance

11221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

972

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Jun 23, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.76%chance

11150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

969

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