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Prediction markets for Sell

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.51%chance

9858808

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144853

69696

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?

Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

6.4%chance

13843722

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5738

1281

Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?

Oct 1, 2:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29%chance

677033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

850

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

May 19, 6:45 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

30.83%chance

674479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1835

742

Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department

Nov 8, 12:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

32.16%chance

173978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

688

Will a European country ban selling meat by 2100?

Aug 14, 11:40 AMAug 14, 10:59 PM

71.47%chance

623413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

715

Will a YuGiOh card sell for a record breaking price by Jan 1st 2027? (Current: $311,211 for Tyler the Great Warrior)

Nov 28, 10:06 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

37.73%chance

18690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1461

516

Will psilocybin be legal to sell in SF by 2030?

Oct 14, 9:11 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

64.79%chance

21582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

705

Energy Fuels sells ≥500,000 pounds of V₂O₅ in 2026?

Nov 26, 5:44 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

56.34%chance

6404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

880

Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036?

Apr 15, 4:17 AMApr 15, 4:11 AM

49.64%chance

4300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Will Elizabeth Holmes have published a best-selling book before 2045

May 23, 4:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.07%chance

11196

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

949

Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?

Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.22%chance

3102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

201

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