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Top stories

Abbott Signs Laws Blocking China and Other Adversaries From Buying Texas Land

Abbott Signs Laws Blocking China and Other Adversaries From Buying Texas Land

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Senate Bills

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12977154

OptionProbability

Massive fraud

Multiple counts of perjury

Advanced human technology

Non-human intelligence

36

31

24

9

Will Trump authorize privateers (i.e. issue letters of marque & reprisal) to go after drug cartels?

Jan 28, 2:21 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM

16.4%chance

156376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1739

87

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

51.18%chance

84233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

977

Will a presidential age limit amendment be introduced in the US Congress before 2030?

Jul 1, 9:29 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

13.96%chance

243463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

403

Biotech company announces relocation to Montana by EOY 2025

May 19, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.91%chance

101934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1607

622

Montana's experimental treatment centers treat 10+ patients by EOY 2025

May 19, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.14%chance

101797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2125

471

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

22.42%chance

121218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1860

538

Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?

Nov 15, 2:17 PMDec 30, 2:15 PM

26.02%chance

81033

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1686

593

The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster

Apr 4, 2:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.04%chance

21810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

959

Montana's experimental treatment centers licensed by EOY 2025

May 19, 8:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.44%chance

8790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1668

600

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

991

Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?

Apr 22, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.57%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

897

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