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Top stories

Abbott Signs Laws Blocking China and Other Adversaries From Buying Texas Land

Abbott Signs Laws Blocking China and Other Adversaries From Buying Texas Land

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Senate Bills

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM

16.27%chance

9340003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10225

1947

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.37%chance

509332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13170

3469

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

42.59%chance

124441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

861

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

21%chance

131323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

516

Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?

Nov 15, 2:17 PMDec 30, 2:15 PM

23.64%chance

111152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1797

556

Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?

Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

80.91%chance

6936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1433

869

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

991

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM

44.23%chance

3123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

890

Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?

Apr 7, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.13%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

81

Will Bill Pulte be confirmed by the Senate as DNI before June 4 2027?

Jun 3, 8:19 PMJun 3, 11:59 PM

18%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

83

Will Senate Bill S7263 Pass?

Mar 6, 2:12 PMDec 31, 3:11 PM

54.21%chance

211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

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