Senate Bills News

Abbott Signs Laws Blocking China and Other Adversaries From Buying Texas Land

7 months ago

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

42.78%chance

104413

OptionVotes

YES

1157

865

Will Chris Murphy introduce a prediction-market-related bill in March 2026?

Mar 6, 7:17 AMMar 31, 6:32 AM

84.82%chance

184363

OptionVotes

YES

2364

423

Survivor 2026: Whose (GOP Primary) Torch Will Trump Fail to Snuff?

Jan 5, 12:45 AMSep 30, 12:59 AM

201309

OptionProbability

Susan Collins (Senate - ME): Voted to convict Trump in 2021.

John Cornyn (Senate - TX): With McConnell retiring, Cornyn is the new face of the "Establishment". Trump allies (like Texas AG Ken Paxton) have actively floated primary challenges against him.

Thomas Massie (House - KY-04): Voted against the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act"

David Valadao (House - CA): The only House Republican who voted to impeach Trump who is running for re-election in 2026.

Field (Any other Targeted Incumbent not listed): If a major new target emerges add them as a standalone option.

Bill Cassidy (Senate - LA): Voted to convict Trump in 2021 and was immediately censured by his state party. He is running for re-election and will face a massive Trump-backed primary challenge.

No Targeted Incumbent will survive (Trump Sweep)

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM

22.42%chance

121218

OptionVotes

YES

1860

538

Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?

Nov 15, 2:17 PMDec 30, 2:15 PM

25.04%chance

91085

OptionVotes

YES

1730

578

The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster

Apr 4, 2:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.05%chance

21860

OptionVotes

YES

1009

968

Will Idaho House Bill 752 (A trans bathroom bill) be enacted into law?

Mar 22, 7:59 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

76.01%chance

3780

OptionVotes

YES

1780

562

Will Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Cassidy win the Republican Primary?

Feb 7, 9:16 PMMar 28, 11:59 PM

11%chance

11621

OptionVotes

YES

201

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

50.46%chance

8375

OptionVotes

YES

1009

991

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

Will Bill Cassidy make the runoff of the Louisiana Republican Primary for Senate?

Mar 15, 5:18 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

57.38%chance

419

OptionVotes

YES

1009

993

Will Senate Bill S7263 Pass?

Mar 6, 2:12 PMDec 31, 3:11 PM

54.21%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

109

Senate Bills News

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Prediction markets for Senate Bills

Prediction markets for Senate Bills

Prediction markets for Senate Bills

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Will Chris Murphy introduce a prediction-market-related bill in March 2026?

Survivor 2026: Whose (GOP Primary) Torch Will Trump Fail to Snuff?

Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?

Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?

The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster

Will Idaho House Bill 752 (A trans bathroom bill) be enacted into law?

Will Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Cassidy win the Republican Primary?

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Will Bill Cassidy make the runoff of the Louisiana Republican Primary for Senate?

Will Senate Bill S7263 Pass?

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