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Top stories

Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek

Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten Ends 2026 Senate Bid, Backs Josh Turek

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Senate Democratic

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

63%chance

321236674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

767

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Jan 29, 12:35 AMNov 4, 12:00 AM

58.71%chance

326210587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12524

8004

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

5559653

OptionProbability

52

53

51

50

54

Other

49

48

47

44

45

46

16

16

14

12

12

11

9

5

2

1

1

1

Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?

Jun 6, 4:58 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

69.63%chance

7834994

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12955

8363

Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?

Sep 6, 8:16 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

1832349

OptionProbability

Minnesota - Penny Flanagan

North Carolina - Roy Cooper

Georgia - Jon Ossoff

Maine - Troy Jackson

New Hampshire - (Chris Pappas)

Michigan - Abdul El Sayed

Alaska - Mary Peltola

Ohio - Sherrod Brown

Texas - James Talarico

Iowa - Josh Turek

Nebraska - Dan Osborn

Kansas - Adam Hamilton

97

97

96

92

86

85

78

72

67

43

36

23

Democrats win Maine and Alaska US Senate Election?

Apr 14, 2:34 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

65%chance

5127676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

734

Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?

Jul 23, 1:46 AMNov 23, 4:59 AM

61%chance

5119350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1252

800

Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?

Jan 12, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.53%chance

4810839

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1268

747

Democrats win the 2026 Special Election for Senate in Florida?

Aug 19, 12:16 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11%chance

117581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4868

625

Will Democrat Angie Nixon win Miami Dade County in the Florida Senate Election?

Sep 20, 10:06 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

60.55%chance

245994

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

32

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

26.31%chance

31700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6451

3911

Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?

Sep 23, 2:33 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

38.82%chance

3220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

731

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