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Prediction markets for Senate GOP

Will Trump authorize privateers (i.e. issue letters of marque & reprisal) to go after drug cartels?

Jan 28, 2:21 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM

15.81%chance

146373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1754

84

If the GOP win a trifecta, will the Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break legislative filibuster before Sept '25?

Aug 12, 1:17 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

12.72%chance

355433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2619

382

Will Donald Trump express support for the 'nuclear option" of breaking legislative filibuster, before September 2025?

Aug 12, 1:30 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM

62.07%chance

181673

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1279

782

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:47 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

2.24%chance

101413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

46

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

101

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

74.82%chance

5724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1724

580

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:48 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

8.07%chance

12589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

632

122

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.52%chance

9548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

742

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

16.39%chance

12472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

58

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:45 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

11.15%chance

12412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

469

78

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?

Jan 4, 4:20 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

17.09%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

149

Will Lindsey Graham be Reelected?

Nov 21, 1:07 PMNov 11, 5:59 AM

1100

OptionProbability

Lindsey Graham

Other

Henry McMaster

Nancy Mace

Ralph Norman

Nikki Haley

68

11

8

4

4

4

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