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Sensi News
Prediction markets for Sensi
Prediction markets for Sensi
At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?
Jan 15, 8:46 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
64.78%
chance
78
10009
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1008
966
What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?
Mar 6, 2:38 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
714
Option
Probability
Other
4
4.5
3.5
5
3.9
3.8
49
26
16
6
1
1
1
Will there be a leak of military secrets or sensitive information on the War Thunder game forums in 2026?
Jun 23, 8:35 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
87.9%
chance
10
400
Option
Votes
NO
YES
270
37
Will this paper replicate (body odour disgust sensitivity -> xenophobia) with 2x participants?
Apr 15, 12:12 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
61.1%
chance
10
124
Option
Votes
NO
YES
200
181
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