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Prediction markets for SEPA

JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029

Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM

17.51%chance

509712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2170

461

Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030

Feb 10, 10:38 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

12.32%chance

315929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2667

375

Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce by eoy 2029?

Jan 1, 6:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.37%chance

354661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

311

32

Mark Zuckerberg either divorced or separated by July 1, 2026

Jan 23, 7:37 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

7.98%chance

374183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3397

294

Will any of the 89 Russian regions leave Russia (Will any region fully separate from Moscow by) ..? - 1250 Mana on YES

Dec 19, 4:17 AMDec 1, 2:43 AM

202395

OptionProbability

Between 2036 and 2045

No region will leave Moscow's control by 2050

Between 2031 and 2034

During 2028

Between 2045 and 2050

During 2027

During 2029

During 2030

During 2035

Before June 1, 2026

Between June 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026

18

15

10

9

9

8

8

8

8

3

3

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

10.96%chance

142180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2850

351

Will mainstream (online) English use a separate second person group pronoun (y'all, yous, ...) in 2030?

Sep 17, 1:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.74%chance

18664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

872

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Mar 31, 1:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6376

OptionProbability

Not before King Charles has died/abdicated (not necessarily immediately)

By 2050

Not before Quebec declares independence

By 2040

Not before closing date

Before Quebec declares independence

While under King Charles

By 2030

In 2025

83

71

69

50

34

31

17

17

1

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:17 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

48.38%chance

4252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

968

Will Melania divorce or separate from Trump by 2050?

Mar 7, 12:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.31%chance

8180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

280

36

MLB unifies the American and National leagues and there are no separate leagues anymore before 2031

Jul 4, 2:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16%chance

8140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

95

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

45.85%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

920

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