Separate News

JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029

Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM

17.51%chance

509712

OptionVotes

YES

2170

461

Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030

Feb 10, 10:38 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

12.32%chance

315929

OptionVotes

YES

2667

375

Will there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?

Apr 9, 11:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.13%chance

555213

OptionVotes

YES

1179

782

Mark Zuckerberg either divorced or separated by July 1, 2026

Jan 23, 7:37 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

6.65%chance

384533

OptionVotes

YES

3747

267

Cerebras multimarket (all judged separately)

Jan 30, 10:03 PMFeb 7, 7:59 AM

103252

OptionProbability

Officially confirmed that their chips are used by OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek, with a value of at least 100m USD, by mid 2028

IPO actually happens in 2026

At end of first day trading, valuation >10b

+3 years from IPO, the CEO is still in place (from IPO time)

HQ moves farther than 50 miles from sunnyvale city hall

+2 years from IPO, valuation is >100b

Has over 1000 employees at IPO time.

The CEO Andrew Feldman has a wikipedia page active on the IPO day

Is purchased by another company by mid 2028

Any of their CEOs visits the White House, til mid 2027, media proof required*

Cerebras sells a consumer product, <10k usd, in US by mid 2027

Out of business by mid 2027

At end of first day trading, valuation >50b

IPO actually happens in 2027

IPO actually happens in 2025

100

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8%chance

152721

OptionVotes

YES

3391

295

Will any of the 89 Russian regions leave Russia (Will any region fully separate from Moscow by) ..? - 1250 Mana on YES

Dec 19, 4:17 AMDec 1, 2:43 AM

202395

OptionProbability

Between 2036 and 2045

No region will leave Moscow's control by 2050

Between 2031 and 2034

During 2028

Between 2045 and 2050

During 2027

During 2029

During 2030

During 2035

Before June 1, 2026

Between June 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.55%chance

101455

OptionVotes

YES

1379

725

Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?

Nov 24, 1:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.2%chance

14806

OptionVotes

YES

630

125

Will mainstream (online) English use a separate second person group pronoun (y'all, yous, ...) in 2030?

Sep 17, 1:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.74%chance

18664

OptionVotes

YES

1192

872

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:17 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

41%chance

5419

OptionVotes

YES

1200

834

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

41%chance

3224

OptionVotes

YES

1200

834

Separate News

Prediction markets for Separate

Prediction markets for Separate

Prediction markets for Separate

JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029

Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030

Will there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?

Mark Zuckerberg either divorced or separated by July 1, 2026

Cerebras multimarket (all judged separately)

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Will any of the 89 Russian regions leave Russia (Will any region fully separate from Moscow by) ..? - 1250 Mana on YES

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?

Will mainstream (online) English use a separate second person group pronoun (y'all, yous, ...) in 2030?

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

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