Separate News

JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029

Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM

17.51%chance

509712

OptionVotes

YES

2170

461

Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030

Feb 10, 10:38 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

12.32%chance

315929

OptionVotes

YES

2667

375

Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce by eoy 2029?

Jan 1, 6:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.37%chance

354661

OptionVotes

YES

311

Mark Zuckerberg either divorced or separated by July 1, 2026

Jan 23, 7:37 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

7.98%chance

374183

OptionVotes

YES

3397

294

Cerebras multimarket (all judged separately)

Jan 30, 10:03 PMFeb 7, 7:59 AM

103232

OptionProbability

Officially confirmed that their chips are used by OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek, with a value of at least 100m USD, by mid 2028

IPO actually happens in 2026

At end of first day trading, valuation >10b

+3 years from IPO, the CEO is still in place (from IPO time)

HQ moves farther than 50 miles from sunnyvale city hall

+2 years from IPO, valuation is >100b

Has over 1000 employees at IPO time.

The CEO Andrew Feldman has a wikipedia page active on the IPO day

Is purchased by another company by mid 2028

Any of their CEOs visits the Qhite House, til mid 2027, media proof required*

Cerebras sells a consumer product, <10k usd, in US by mid 2027

Out of business by mid 2027

At end of first day trading, valuation >50b

IPO actually happens in 2027

IPO actually happens in 2025

100

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

10.96%chance

142180

OptionVotes

YES

2850

351

Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?

Nov 24, 1:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.2%chance

14806

OptionVotes

YES

630

125

Will mainstream (online) English use a separate second person group pronoun (y'all, yous, ...) in 2030?

Sep 17, 1:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.74%chance

18664

OptionVotes

YES

1192

872

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Mar 31, 1:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6376

OptionProbability

Not before King Charles has died/abdicated (not necessarily immediately)

By 2050

Not before Quebec declares independence

By 2040

Not before closing date

Before Quebec declares independence

While under King Charles

By 2030

In 2025

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:17 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

48.38%chance

4252

OptionVotes

YES

1033

968

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

45.85%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

1087

920

Does manifold prefer Separate Peace or Movable Feast?

Jan 10, 10:31 PMFeb 10, 4:59 AM

OptionProbability

a separate peace - knowles

a movable feast - hemmingway

Separate News

Prediction markets for Separate

Prediction markets for Separate

Prediction markets for Separate

JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029

Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030

Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce by eoy 2029?

Mark Zuckerberg either divorced or separated by July 1, 2026

Cerebras multimarket (all judged separately)

Will it become common to carry separate devices to enable AI listening to self outputs by mid 2026

Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?

Will mainstream (online) English use a separate second person group pronoun (y'all, yous, ...) in 2030?

When will Canada separate itself from the monarchy?

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Does manifold prefer Separate Peace or Movable Feast?

Latest stories