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Prediction markets for SER

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25811915440

OptionProbability

Never

2030s

2029

2023 (NO)

2024 (NO)

2025 (NO)

2026

2027

2028

2040s or later

91

4

3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

18.48%chance

898515424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2483

689

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

16.23%chance

417230129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4722

1113

Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?

Mar 31, 2:57 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

17.93%chance

446160173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2140

468

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.99%chance

39288505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1688

650

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

76.93%chance

2119692

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18263

5476

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

3011898

OptionProbability

With a cisgender woman

With anyone at all

With a cisgender man

With a transfeminine person

With a transmasculine person

100

100

40

39

24

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.02%chance

647730

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13908

7205

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

19.42%chance

31576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7442

5382

Luiz "Dudu" Eduardo, irá ser liberado para jogar volei?

Mar 16, 3:15 PMMar 28, 3:13 PM

38.85%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Who will be the Prologue POV character in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

May 6, 12:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10154

OptionProbability

A new character not mentioned previously in the series (including appendices)

Other

Lady Stoneheart

Brynden Tully (the Blackfish)

Jeyne Westerling

Whitesmile Wat

Edmure Tully

Ser Ilyn Payne

Ser Forley Prester

Maester Jon Vance

Sybell Spicer

40

20

8

7

5

5

3

3

3

3

3

Springboks vs All Blacks 2026: Who will win the 4-Test Series?

Feb 25, 8:51 PMAug 21, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Springboks (South Africa) win more Tests than NZ

All Blacks (New Zealand) win more Tests than SA

Series Shared / Drawn (Wins are equal)

33

33

33

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