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Prediction markets for SER

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25611859949

OptionProbability

Never

2030s

2029

2023 (NO)

2024 (NO)

2025 (NO)

2026

2027

2028

2040s or later

91

5

3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?

Nov 12, 7:10 PMJan 19, 9:59 PM

20.64%chance

869484079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2301

733

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

10.22%chance

408225581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6320

876

Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?

Mar 31, 2:57 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

19%chance

445159983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

485

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.99%chance

38787944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1688

650

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

76.93%chance

2019690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18263

5476

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.08%chance

637720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13928

7195

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

19.42%chance

31576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7442

5382

Who will be the Prologue POV character in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

May 6, 12:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9110

OptionProbability

A new character not mentioned previously in the series (including appendices)

Other

Brynden Tully (the Blackfish)

Jeyne Westerling

Whitesmile Wat

Edmure Tully

Ser Ilyn Payne

Ser Forley Prester

Maester Jon Vance

Sybell Spicer

52

10

9

6

6

3

3

3

3

3

Who will win the Men's SVNS Series?

Jan 29, 2:42 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Argentina

Australia

Fiji

France

Great Britain

New Zealand

South Africa

Spain

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

Who will win 2026 MLB ALCS? ⚾ (American League Championship Series)

Oct 26, 10:45 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Boston Red Sox

Texas Rangers

Baltimore Orioles

Houston Astros

Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees

Cleveland Guardians

Detroit Tigers

Seattle Mariners

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Who will win the Women's SVNS Series?

Jan 29, 2:47 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Australia

Canada

Fiji

France

Great Britain

Japan

New Zealand

United States

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

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