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Seres News
Prediction markets for Seres
Prediction markets for Seres
Will my friends Eliot and Serene still be married in 10 years from now?
Mar 13, 11:52 AM
Mar 13, 12:59 PM
90.15%
chance
5
345
Option
Votes
NO
YES
397
88
Will "There is way too much serendipity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Feb 17, 12:40 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
83.43%
chance
4
115
Option
Votes
NO
YES
167
53
Will Serena Ge (https://serenage.super.site/) become a Thiel Fellow?
Jun 11, 11:09 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
58.66%
chance
4
89
Option
Votes
NO
YES
119
84
Will Serena Ge join forces with Matthew Barnett, Tamay, and Mechanize?
Jun 11, 3:57 AM
Jan 1, 4:57 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
In a best-of-three-set match against prime Serena Williams, what is the cumulative probability of you winning ≥1 point?
Feb 28, 9:19 AM
13
0
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