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Prediction markets for service

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.66%chance

10328174

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

791

Will Brightline West open for service before 2028?

Jun 11, 11:34 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

2.46%chance

1310377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5418

106

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.08%chance

637720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13928

7195

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Jun 18, 4:25 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

30.18%chance

253943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1537

222

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will Brightline West open for service before 2031?

Aug 13, 7:37 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

45.59%chance

141069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

340

Will a thorium based nuclear reactor be in service for energy in the US before 2050?

Jun 25, 10:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

60.35%chance

151053

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

811

Will Russia or ROC be allowed in the Olympics again before Nintendo ends online play and services for the Switch?

Jan 25, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75%chance

15707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

969

Will there be internet service on the Moon at the end of 2040?

Mar 28, 4:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.59%chance

22694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1304

781

Will the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?

Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.52%chance

12484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1114

1062

In 2030, will we still believe economies should mature into becoming service-based? [vibes]

Feb 20, 11:07 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

66.8%chance

13252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

960

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.3%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

910

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