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Prediction markets for Services

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

33%chance

8733984

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14277

6989

Will Brightline West open for service before 2028?

Jun 11, 11:34 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

2.46%chance

1310377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5418

106

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Jun 18, 4:25 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

21.16%chance

284350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

155

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will Brightline West open for service before 2031?

Aug 13, 7:37 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

33.05%chance

141244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

227

Will an emergency service provider be sued because of an AI system by eoy2027?

Aug 25, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.2%chance

181118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

865

Will a thorium based nuclear reactor be in service for energy in the US before 2050?

Jun 25, 10:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

60.35%chance

151053

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

811

Will Russia or ROC be allowed in the Olympics again before Nintendo ends online play and services for the Switch?

Jan 25, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75%chance

15707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

969

Will customer service employment fall >5% in 2026?

Oct 26, 7:08 AMApr 30, 1:59 PM

61.28%chance

11651

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

795

Will the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?

Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.02%chance

13534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

1055

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

55.19%chance

3323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

In 2030, will we still believe economies should mature into becoming service-based? [vibes]

Feb 20, 11:07 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

66.8%chance

13252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

960

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