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Prediction markets for Services Revenue

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.15%chance

3015711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1274

786

Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?

Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

5113946

OptionProbability

Department of Education

Public Broadcasting Service (PBS)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

National Park Service (NPS)

Freddie Mac

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)

National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)

Bureau of Alcohol, Firearms, and Tobacco

Fannie Mae

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA)

Small Business Administration

Federal Statistical Agencies

Ginnie Mae

Federal Bureau of Investigations

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

Transportation Security Administration (TSA)

National Weather Service

Internal Revenue Service

National Institutes of Health

United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

The Supreme Court

US Postal Service

Amtrak

100

14

12

11

10

10

10

9

9

9

8

8

8

7

7

7

6

5

5

4

2

1

1

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7210411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4186

2254

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

May 25, 4:22 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

21.79%chance

102103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1895

528

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?

Jun 7, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.47%chance

81564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2534

395

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.43%chance

6662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1662

602

Will the AI-powered romantic partners market exceed $10 billion yearly revenue before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.11%chance

15600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

872

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.3%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

910

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