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Prediction markets for Services Revenue

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.58%chance

1911489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1508

664

Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?

Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

5011102

OptionProbability

Department of Education

Federal Statistical Agencies

Transportation Security Administration (TSA)

National Weather Service

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)

Internal Revenue Service

Public Broadcasting Service (PBS)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)

National Institutes of Health

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

Bureau of Alcohol, Firearms, and Tobacco

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA)

National Park Service (NPS)

Small Business Administration

Federal Bureau of Investigations

Freddie Mac

Ginnie Mae

Fannie Mae

The Supreme Court

United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

US Postal Service

Amtrak

100

35

22

21

21

20

20

19

19

18

18

17

17

16

14

13

12

11

9

7

4

1

1

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.27%chance

526444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3533

2439

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

In 2026, will the largest AI-based commercial forecasting system (by revenue) have a platform-wide Brier score <0.1?

May 25, 4:22 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

21.79%chance

102103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1895

528

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?

Jun 7, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.37%chance

5715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

583

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73.43%chance

6662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1662

602

Will the AI-powered romantic partners market exceed $10 billion yearly revenue before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.11%chance

15600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

872

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.3%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

910

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