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Prediction markets for SES

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

Mar 9, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.81%chance

8810752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

447

202

The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?

Jul 15, 6:19 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

32373

OptionProbability

57th parliament

58th parliament

59th parliament

60th parliament

56th parliament

55th parliament

20

20

20

20

12

7

Sesame Street stock

Apr 10, 5:45 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

181141

OptionProbability

YES

NO

359

198

Will Anthropic release an orchestration layer for multiple Claude Code sessions/agents in 2026?

Jan 15, 9:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.65%chance

151094

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

614

Will Sesame Street end before a human walks on Mars?

Dec 26, 4:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.79%chance

33776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2346

1832

By 2028, will GTA 6 Online surpass Roblox in average session length among users aged 18–34?

Jan 16, 7:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.21%chance

4310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

896

will there be regular real-time video broadcasts of SCOTUS sessions before a state broadcasts an execution?

Feb 26, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.3%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

264

176

Will Sesame Street end before EOY 2035?

Dec 8, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.11%chance

416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

84

59

Suggest some sessions for Manifest 2023!

Aug 3, 8:29 PMAug 4, 6:59 AM

00

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