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Prediction markets for SF Bay Area

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

1952881

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Before EOY

82

8

6

2

1

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

66.08%chance

637720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13928

7195

How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 1:51 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

203323

OptionProbability

9 to 16

<=8

17 to 24

>=25

73

19

7

1

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.67%chance

72390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2875

637

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Does Cambridge, MA water supply have lower disinfection byproduct concentration than SF Bay area water supply

Jan 24, 4:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.71%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

108

Will SF Bay area water have higher microplastic contamination in 2028 than in 2026?

Jan 22, 10:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61%chance

013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

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