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Prediction markets for SFO

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff by the end of 2025?

Dec 23, 9:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.07%chance

277192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2699

370

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SJC airport terminal area by the end of 2025?

Oct 28, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.24%chance

95462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3448

290

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.48%chance

121543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1855

539

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Nov 13, 6:57 PMDec 31, 6:50 PM

4794

OptionProbability

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q4 2025

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

18

13

10

9

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

When will Waymo offer rides from SFO to Pacifica?

Jun 19, 3:06 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

3165

OptionProbability

1/2026-6/2026

2028 or later

7/2026-12/2026

1/2027-6/2027

7/2026-12/2027

2025

26

26

15

15

13

4

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