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Prediction markets for SFO

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.3%chance

287032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1718

582

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Nov 13, 6:57 PMDec 31, 6:50 PM

105665

OptionProbability

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

Q4 2026

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q4 2025

17

13

13

12

12

10

9

4

3

3

3

1

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

When will Waymo offer rides from SFO to Pacifica?

Jun 19, 3:06 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

4337

OptionProbability

2028 or later

1/2027-6/2027

7/2026-12/2026

7/2026-12/2027

2025

1/2026-6/2026

26

24

20

20

5

4

Will I be in California again before the end of 2026?

Aug 10, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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