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Prediction markets for Sharpe AI

Will bitcoin achieve a new ath in 2026

Mar 4, 1:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9%chance

12850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?

Apr 12, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.04%chance

19700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

994

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.01%chance

12546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

When will SCOTUS hear a Second Amendment case about a weaponized flying drone?

Apr 24, 2:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3450

OptionProbability

No such case heard

2029

2028

2027

2026

27

26

25

15

7

Will the price of silver fall below $30/ oz by end of 2026

Feb 19, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.99%chance

15388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.97%chance

14359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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