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Prediction markets for Shelter
Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM
9.79%chance
4138781
OptionVotes
30349
3295
Longtermist Policymaking provokes Thermonuclear War by 1st Jan 2028
Aug 11, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
8.07%chance
12526
OptionVotes
589
131
OptionVotes
145
69
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
OptionVotes
194
51
Will the US or Israel strike Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site before Oct 1, 2027?
Sep 9, 4:27 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
58.78%chance
9105
OptionVotes
119
84