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Shiller News
Prediction markets for Shiller
Prediction markets for Shiller
Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
Jan 6, 2:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.73%
chance
25
17642
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1656
604
How high will the S&P 500 Shiller PE ratio get before its next 30% drawdown?
Dec 26, 4:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9
5453
Option
Probability
40-50
50-75
75+
less than 40
82
9
8
2
Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026?
Aug 28, 12:00 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
13.13%
chance
46
4117
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1777
805
Will the December Case Shiller be below last year's?
Dec 12, 9:31 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
56.08%
chance
2
13
Option
Votes
NO
YES
113
88
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