OptionProbability
AI-related
Male
Photo exists of them wearing a baseball hat
English speaker (human)
Abrahamic religion
Blue eyes
Manifold thinks they are "right-wing"
Born after Hiroshima bombing & before Macintosh 128K release
Recording exists of them saying "fuck"
Leader (or leader elect) of P5 country : 🇨🇳 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇷🇺 🇫🇷
White
Heterosexual
A specific living individual
Has been to Africa
Currently married
An individual head of state (current or elect)
White hair
Head of state, head of government, or de facto paramount leader (current, former, or elect)
Blonde
Bald
Catholic
Based in Europe
Has Tattoo
Born in the Commonwealth
Has used cannabis
veteran / military experience
known to have been a shriner / bear / elk / mason / rotary club / lion or other social club member
6 feet / 183 cm or taller
Jeffrey Epstein associate
At least one divorce (human)
Is two or more people
has served time in a prison/jail for any reason
At least 75 years old at time of announcement
Has won Times POTY before
Drinks alcohol
Elected pope in 2025
Has had a beard for most of 2025
Under 40 years old at time of announcement
Two or more children
Has been accused of molesting their sister
Athlete (Professional) (can be retired)
...could suck a golf ball through a garden hose.
78
65
62
59
54
51
50
49
48
46
45
44
43
41
40
34
31
30
28
25
20
19
15
14
12
10
9
7
3
1