OptionProbability
Abrahamic religion
Has been to Africa
Heterosexual
English speaker (human)
A specific living individual
Male
Photo exists of them wearing a baseball hat
White
Manifold thinks they are "right-wing"
Head of state, head of government, or de facto paramount leader (current, former, or elect)
Blue eyes
6 feet / 183 cm or taller
Born after Hiroshima bombing & before Macintosh 128K release
White hair
Based in Europe
AI-related
An individual head of state (current or elect)
At least 75 years old at time of announcement
Two or more children
Jeffrey Epstein associate
Catholic
Elected pope in 2025
Drinks alcohol
At least one divorce (human)
Under 40 years old at time of announcement
Blonde
Recording exists of them saying "fuck"
Is two or more people
Currently married
Has Tattoo
Has used cannabis
veteran / military experience
Bald
Born in the Commonwealth
Has been accused of molesting their sister
has served time in a prison/jail for any reason
known to have been a shriner / bear / elk / mason / rotary club / lion or other social club member
Has won Times POTY before
Leader (or leader elect) of P5 country : π¨π³ π¬π§ πΊπΈ π·πΊ π«π·
Athlete (Professional) (can be retired)
...could suck a golf ball through a garden hose.
88
84
80
78
75
71
66
56
52
50
48
38
37
36
35
33
31
30
27
22
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15
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10
9
8
6