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If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?

Jan 21, 10:37 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

70.96%chance

7914288

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1422

742

Will any more top brass on the Russian side die before the end of the war on Ukraine? [See Description]

Jan 5, 1:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

91.71%chance

272836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2279

738

Will there be a d20 (20 sided dice) emoji by the end of 2027?

Jun 12, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.01%chance

152255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2843

352

Will a cure that eradicated over 50% of cancer tumors without significant adverse side effects be found before 2050?

Dec 24, 10:49 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

56.96%chance

251006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

909

Will the fast-growth side win the benjaminmoll growth bet?

Aug 27, 2:59 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

22%chance

16993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

959

WW3: India on US side?

Mar 28, 7:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

54.84%chance

19547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

874

Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Oct 23, 8:47 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.15%chance

4475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

964

Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?

Mar 27, 5:56 PMMar 28, 4:59 AM

23.85%chance

19404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

944

Will any prominent e/accs switch sides to Notkilleveryoneism after examining the arguments in detail?

Apr 9, 9:06 PMApr 9, 10:59 PM

73.83%chance

17361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

967

Before 2035, will evidence indicate BPC-157’s side effects make it not-recommended for musculoskeletal injury recovery?

Jun 28, 6:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.04%chance

496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

961

Will "The Invisible Side of AI Governance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 22, 9:28 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.18%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

987

Will "Sympathy for both sides of the egregious misa..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 12, 10:53 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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