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Prediction markets for SIE

Software Intelligence Explosion by 2040?

Dec 7, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

9223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

On June 30, will Mamdani have a positive net favorability among NYC residents per the latest Siena College poll?

Jan 12, 12:42 AMJul 2, 11:59 PM

62.59%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

Pepsi replaced Sierra Mist with Starry in Jan 2023. Will Starry still be around EOY 2029 in the USA?

Dec 8, 6:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.53%chance

6124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

212

115

Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?

Jun 18, 12:57 PMJun 18, 9:59 PM

3108

OptionProbability

0

Below - 1

1

2

3

4

Above 4

-1

26

11

11

11

11

11

11

9

Will California high-speed rail use Siemens trains?

Apr 30, 9:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.05%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

975

Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2027?

Oct 24, 5:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.69%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

85

58

Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2030?

Oct 24, 5:18 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

65

🇵🇱 If you are from Poland - przywitaj się in comments!

Nov 21, 6:33 PM

00

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