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Prediction markets for Sigma

Will I find a violation of universal free fall?

Dec 22, 4:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.58%chance

524112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3475

1856

Will a Beyond the Standard Model Particle be discovered by 2025?

Mar 13, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.27%chance

382428

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1503

924

Will Games Workshop produce multicoloured miniatures with rules to use them in any of their mainline games (Warhammer 40000 / Age of Sigmar) by 01/01/2026?

Jan 27, 8:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.33%chance

122039

OptionVotes

YES

NO

610

98

Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?

Aug 8, 4:57 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

14.22%chance

292009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

917

Will Dark Matter still be real at the end of 2028?

Mar 21, 10:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.74%chance

281575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

951

Does the CKM matrix violate unitarity (near the 0.1% level)?

Aug 29, 2:26 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

20.11%chance

241180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

954

Will we discover evidence of a magnetic monopole before 2050?

Dec 7, 1:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.38%chance

191027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

935

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

What will be the cool word for "cool" in 2032?

Sep 20, 1:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18370

OptionProbability

Other

sigma

based

cool

spice

whale

heat

loose

caught

cot

retro

TRANCHE

gas

numb

left

sunk

cought

warm

tepid

luke

damp

jank

sweet

sick

沉着的 chénzhuóde

cloe

swag

31

24

15

14

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Dec 31, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.44%chance

19299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

972

Will we discover evidence of a cosmic string before 2050?

Dec 7, 1:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.52%chance

7222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

394

139

When will we measure the mass of neutrino?

Mar 6, 3:29 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

138

OptionProbability

Before 2036

Before 2034

Before 2032

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2026

57

56

54

50

43

34

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