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Prediction markets for SIGN

Will signs of life on K2-18b be confirmed?

Sep 12, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.48%chance

8439696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9646

667

Will GPT5 show clear signs of diminishing returns?

Mar 30, 5:00 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.44%chance

25225566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2184

792

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will sign-in with OpenAI be announced before 2026?

May 31, 8:03 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

64.85%chance

4411884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1358

736

Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?

Dec 13, 7:27 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

71.21%chance

145786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

890

Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?

Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

30.29%chance

75041

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12910

8301

Will signs of past or present life be found on the Jovian moon Europa by 2050?

Oct 2, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.2%chance

402284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

505

Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

462069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

885

AI Warning Signs: Before 2030, will an AI system scam someone without being given explicit instructions to do so?

Jan 18, 7:06 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

60%chance

9762

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

816

Arsenal sign Eberechi Eze before 2025-2026 Premier League season?

Jul 3, 12:19 AMAug 14, 11:59 PM

51.07%chance

7696

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

979

Conditional on me dying while signed up with any cryonics organization, will I be revived?

Nov 15, 6:50 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

29.86%chance

17192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

878

Will the American Boxing Revival Act of 2025 (ABRA) be signed into law by July 4, 2026.

Jul 28, 7:15 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

52.46%chance

271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

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