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Prediction markets for Signa

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.6%chance

24719233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2700

1747

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.89%chance

184256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3019

331

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.48%chance

213816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4153

241

3I/ATLAS confirmed as techno signature?

Sep 2, 8:30 AMOct 31, 8:25 AM

2.9%chance

131512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

579

17

Will this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)

Feb 3, 12:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.06%chance

261414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

890

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.97%chance

231149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1747

843

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

Apr 21, 11:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.33%chance

14777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

760

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

873

When will JS Signals reach Stage 3?

Oct 1, 7:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1206

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 on their 50th anniversary?

Feb 26, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.73%chance

8138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

175

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 at the end of 2029?

Jul 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

41.23%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

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