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Prediction markets for Signa

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.95%chance

24419019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2678

1780

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.97%chance

5212270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19342

7418

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

7.9%chance

183860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3414

293

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.61%chance

203766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4103

244

Will Jeffrey Goldberg be arrested over the Signal leak by the 1st of October 2025?

Mar 25, 9:55 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

3.74%chance

241523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

929

97

Will this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)

Feb 3, 12:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.06%chance

261414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

890

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.97%chance

231149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1747

843

Will the Russian civilians who provide signatures to get Boris Nadezhdin on the ballot suffer government reprisal?

Jan 27, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.92%chance

14883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1460

891

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

Apr 21, 11:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.11%chance

13727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

901

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

873

Will the UK pressure credit card processors to enforce content censorship on Signal?

Mar 22, 8:37 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

30.24%chance

682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

154

Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?

Jun 4, 2:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.95%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

66

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