Signal News

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Feb 9, 10:58 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

38.95%chance

24419019

OptionVotes

YES

2678

1780

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.97%chance

5212270

OptionVotes

YES

19342

7418

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

7.9%chance

183860

OptionVotes

YES

3414

293

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

5.61%chance

203766

OptionVotes

YES

4103

244

Will Jeffrey Goldberg be arrested over the Signal leak by the 1st of October 2025?

Mar 25, 9:55 PMOct 1, 12:00 AM

3.74%chance

241523

OptionVotes

YES

929

Will this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)

Feb 3, 12:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.06%chance

261414

OptionVotes

YES

1176

890

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Jun 29, 6:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.97%chance

231149

OptionVotes

YES

1747

843

Conditional on a second Wow! signal detection, what will be true?

Mar 3, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18620

OptionProbability

The signal has natural extraterrestrial origins

The signal has a bandwidth narrower than 10 kHz

The signal has artificial terrestrial origins

Signal has detectable modulation

The signal has a bandwidth wider than 10 kHz

Signal contains an encoded message

The signal has natural terrestrial origins

The signal uses a frequency in the waterhole region (1420 - 1662 MHz)

The signal has a frequency higher than 1662 MHz

Signal is detected by at least 3 different observatories

The signal has artificial extraterrestrial origins

The signal has a frequency lower than 1420 MHz

Signal contains an encoded message that uses the hashtag “#ChasingUFOs”

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

Feb 9, 10:57 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.85%chance

15544

OptionVotes

YES

1079

873

By 2030, will the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab find signals of physics beyond the Standard Model?

Mar 18, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.61%chance

10320

OptionVotes

YES

278

141

Will Intentshunal Spelling and Grammer Mistakes as Form of Antitechnology Virtue Signaling Beome a Thing?

Feb 21, 4:28 PMMay 29, 4:59 AM

18.21%chance

684

OptionVotes

YES

234

116

Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?

Jun 4, 2:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.95%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

122

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Prediction markets for Signal

Prediction markets for Signal

Prediction markets for Signal

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?

Will Jeffrey Goldberg be arrested over the Signal leak by the 1st of October 2025?

Will this market still exist in 2100? (Bet NO for signaling purposes)

Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?

Conditional on a second Wow! signal detection, what will be true?

By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about data collected from people's brain signals?

By 2030, will the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab find signals of physics beyond the Standard Model?

Will Intentshunal Spelling and Grammer Mistakes as Form of Antitechnology Virtue Signaling Beome a Thing?

Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?

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