Signature News

3I/ATLAS confirmed as techno signature?

Sep 2, 8:30 AMOct 31, 8:25 AM

1.73%chance

181958

OptionVotes

YES

754

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

Feb 22, 6:24 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

81444

OptionProbability

Before Sep 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before May 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Apr 2026

Before Mar 2026

If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?

Feb 24, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

281181

OptionProbability

Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information)

Microbial life (spectroscopic or mineral signatures of life in the solar system or beyond)

UFOs (sightings, disclosures)

Alien technology (extrasolar objects, piece of space junk found on Earth, ancient alien relics)

SETI (radio signals received from afar)

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

Apr 21, 11:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.33%chance

14777

OptionVotes

YES

1068

760

What's true about the beginning of the universe?

Aug 9, 5:43 PMAug 10, 5:32 PM

9170

OptionProbability

The beginning is fundamentally unknowable with any current and future observations.

The universe arises out of quantum tunneling from ‘nothing’, and the process can be described by a Lorentzian path integral (e.g., Vilenkin's proposal).

The universe is eternal and has no beginning.

There is change in spacetime signature (e.g., Hartle-Hawking proposal of Euclidean to Lorentzian signature)

The observable universe budded off as a baby universe from a black hole.

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:04 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

10%chance

3162

OptionVotes

YES

210

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:05 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

8.53%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

230

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 on their 50th anniversary?

Feb 26, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.73%chance

8138

OptionVotes

YES

292

175

Significant attack on post-quantum signature Dilithium published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:03 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

12.99%chance

280

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 at the end of 2029?

Jul 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

41.23%chance

320

OptionVotes

YES

119

Wil a transcrptomic signature of long-lived bird aging/mortality come out by 2033?

May 27, 3:55 PM

What should we call the signature Manifest cocktail?

Sep 25, 2:23 AM

Signature News

Prediction markets for Signature

Prediction markets for Signature

Prediction markets for Signature

3I/ATLAS confirmed as techno signature?

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?

Will quantum computers, or any other type of computer, be able to crack bitcoin's ECDSA signatures before 2050?

What's true about the beginning of the universe?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature SPHINCS+ published before Nov 2026

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 on their 50th anniversary?

Significant attack on post-quantum signature Dilithium published before Nov 2026

Will Arizona Iced Tea’s signature “Big Can” be priced $0.99 at the end of 2029?

Wil a transcrptomic signature of long-lived bird aging/mortality come out by 2033?

What should we call the signature Manifest cocktail?

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