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Prediction markets for Silicon

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.05%chance

11911172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1974

1824

Will both Apple and Google's 2025 flagship phones use Silicon Carbon batteries?

Feb 7, 12:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.54%chance

86575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3502

286

Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?

Jan 7, 11:36 PMJan 13, 4:59 AM

59.88%chance

482947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

887

Will any rights be granted to a silicon-based intelligence before 2050?

Jan 2, 12:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

61%chance

442537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1163

849

Will most computers still run on silicon-based hardware in 2100?

Aug 19, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.07%chance

372536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

835

Will a Silicon Valley company be the target of a domestic terrorism attack by end 2025?

Nov 22, 11:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.9%chance

202371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2803

761

Will a magazine publish a +8000 word piece about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?

Mar 13, 9:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.33%chance

191408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1807

221

Will the new silicon valley tech city incorporate the windows background hill?

Aug 28, 11:35 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

6.18%chance

121202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1802

860

Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2060?

Feb 4, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

51.41%chance

37965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1252

636

Will over 100,000 people live in the "City Built From Scratch" by "The Silicon Valley Elite" in Solano County in 2030?

Aug 25, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.27%chance

18917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

919

Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060?

Apr 2, 6:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.46%chance

13458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

946

By 2027, will Silicon Photonics based multi-chip packages be the main way that most data centres handle data and network traffic?

Feb 25, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

21424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

940

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