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Prediction markets for SIZE

In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?

Mar 25, 3:08 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

44.82%chance

637544

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

743

Will there be a popular fad to put a life-size plastic skeleton in the driver’s seat of a self-driving car before 2030

Jun 18, 5:06 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

28.31%chance

325229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

628

Size of largest company to fail due to cyber attacks by EoY 2027?

Aug 21, 2:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

133193

OptionProbability

$100M - <$10B

< $100M

$10B - < $100B

$100B+

61

19

11

9

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

70.73%chance

121137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

643

Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2026?

Dec 6, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13998

OptionProbability

China

India

Pakistan

North Korea

UK

Israel

France

United States

Russia

[Other]

85

61

58

48

35

32

30

19

18

18

If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?

Nov 29, 12:12 AMDec 6, 7:59 AM

44.58%chance

20888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

927

Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?

Jun 13, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.39%chance

6665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1628

614

Will any of destiny current orbiters grow their stream around the size of vaush/Hasan?

Jan 11, 7:00 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

26.78%chance

14376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

985

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.38%chance

6345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

862

Will the economy in 2048 be at least six times the size it is today?

Jul 18, 1:59 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

37.78%chance

10249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

138

Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?

Dec 9, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62%chance

17233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

990

Xi refers to people including their family size in his speeches, generally

Aug 20, 8:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.04%chance

689

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

61

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