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Prediction markets for SIZE

In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?

Mar 25, 3:08 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

43.45%chance

627434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1254

720

Will there be a popular fad to put a life-size plastic skeleton in the driver’s seat of a self-driving car before 2030

Jun 18, 5:06 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

28.31%chance

325229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

628

Will Manifund give out another loan of size > 100kUSD to @MarcusAbramovitch before the end of 2025?

Jan 10, 8:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.46%chance

134371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4290

345

Limits on AI model size by 2026?

Mar 27, 6:24 AMJan 1, 2:29 PM

5.48%chance

203128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3905

585

More uproar when the Department of Education is cut down to size than around USAID?

Feb 3, 9:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

76.95%chance

232075

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1322

96

Effect size of taking Orexin-A on reaction speed under five hours of sleep?

Mar 21, 8:22 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

31552

OptionProbability

- 0.5 to 0

0 to 0.5

0.5 to 1

1 to 1.5

Above 1.5

- 1 to - 0.5

Below - 1

20

20

20

14

10

9

5

Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of Chinese origin?

Feb 11, 3:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.79%chance

211171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1307

804

Is the Unidentified Car-sized Object over Alaska of Russian origin?

Feb 11, 3:25 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

4.12%chance

14925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1779

906

If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?

Nov 29, 12:12 AMDec 6, 7:59 AM

44.58%chance

20888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

927

Will any of destiny current orbiters grow their stream around the size of vaush/Hasan?

Jan 11, 7:00 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

26.78%chance

14376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

985

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.38%chance

6345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

862

Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?

Dec 9, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.16%chance

14134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

972

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