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Prediction markets for SIZE

In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?

Mar 25, 3:08 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

44.24%chance

627534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1237

733

Will there be a popular fad to put a life-size plastic skeleton in the driver’s seat of a self-driving car before 2030

Jun 18, 5:06 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

28.31%chance

325229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

628

If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?

Nov 29, 12:12 AMDec 6, 7:59 AM

44.58%chance

20888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

927

Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?

Jun 13, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.99%chance

4645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1645

608

Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2026?

Dec 6, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8623

OptionProbability

China

India

North Korea

Pakistan

United States

Israel

France

Russia

UK

[Other]

91

57

55

50

39

37

36

31

28

25

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

59.67%chance

9426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1216

822

Will any of destiny current orbiters grow their stream around the size of vaush/Hasan?

Jan 11, 7:00 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

26.78%chance

14376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

985

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.38%chance

6345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

862

Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?

Dec 9, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62%chance

17233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

990

Will I believe my prediction about AI enabling more SWEs to solve less lucrative problems by shrinking team sizes to have been fulfilled by EoY 2030

Jan 6, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.12%chance

7219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

127

Largest anti-Trump protests in 2026 exceed size of largest 2025 protests?

Jan 10, 1:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.92%chance

9190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

When will the size of the fast food workforce begin declining in America?

Apr 26, 1:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3145

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

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2025-2026

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2058-2059

2059-2060

2060-2061

22

22

22

22

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

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