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Prediction markets for Slack

Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:51 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

4.39%chance

5569376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46541

2113

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

3%chance

4352283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56752

1748

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

3337754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46223

1947

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.71%chance

498516

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4065

246

Will under 13 year old Hack Clubbers be banned before Dec 31st, 2025?

Dec 5, 8:04 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

44.59%chance

111015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

897

How many threads with 100+ replies will there be in #meta in the Hack Club Slack by the end of 2025?

Nov 28, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7769

OptionProbability

More than 10

3 - 4

5 - 6

7 - 8

9 - 10

0

1 - 2

79

4

4

4

4

3

3

will I vibe with a community found through this market within a year?

May 11, 9:19 PMMay 12, 7:08 PM

31.56%chance

13678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1472

679

🧑‍💻Which Websites/Apps will have a significant unintended outage due to DDOS or other reason in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

Jan 5, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12659

OptionProbability

Cloudflare

PornHub

Twitch

Kick

Netflix

OnlyFans

LinkedIn

Discord

Spotify

Zoom

Amazon

Coinbase

Steam

Reddit

OpenAI

Cash App

Duolingo

Tinder

Lyft

Uber

Shopify

Slack

Wikipedia

Chess.com

iCloud

WhatsApp

Venmo

Facebook

Manifold

Twitter/X

eBay

Youtube

Instagram

Bsky

Mercury

100

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

17

15

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

11

11

10

10

10

10

10

10

Will an transformer action AI (like adept.ai) be able to navigate and smoothly click all the "expand all" links to archive an entire Slack channel by 2025? (even if just via OBS Studio)

Feb 20, 7:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.5%chance

16286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

920

Will Slack sign a partnership with OpenAI before the end of 2025?

Jan 4, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.09%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Will bits in bio slack (bitsinbio.slack.com) finally upgrade so people can have access to more than 90 days, by EOY2027?

Apr 27, 8:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.32%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will the AI alignment slack's entire history stop being accessible (eg if its paid plan on slack is discontinued by 2029

Mar 12, 4:12 AMMar 20, 3:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

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