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Prediction markets for SLE

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84%chance

1291056730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

745

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

Jun 28, 2:39 AMOct 28, 11:33 AM

39.01%chance

7330993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

615

Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity resulting in US casualties before September 11, 2025

Jun 14, 1:27 AMSep 10, 11:59 PM

5.85%chance

195684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4012

249

Trump dies peacefully in his sleep in 2025?

Mar 3, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.77%chance

142191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

505

20

Effect size of taking Orexin-A on reaction speed under five hours of sleep?

Mar 21, 8:22 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

31552

Does your body keep track of your sleep debt for more than 2 weeks?

Dec 14, 5:50 AMJan 21, 5:50 AM

23.94%chance

181165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1057

964

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/2?

Mar 6, 4:48 AMJun 9, 10:09 AM

76.61%chance

7604

OptionVotes

NO

YES

181

55

Will there be a safe and sustainable way of avoiding the need for sleep by 2030?

Jul 18, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.06%chance

9585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

126

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

Will the FDA approved a drug that claims to reduce the number of hours of sleep you need by 2040?

Nov 12, 6:45 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

37.17%chance

3300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

769

Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030?

Apr 5, 2:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.95%chance

11285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1316

993

Will Slenderman by added to Dead By Daylight before 2027?

May 25, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

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