OptionVotes
YES
NO
3181
889
1041
910
OptionProbability
Before Jan 2027
After 2027-01-01
Before Nov 2026
Before Mar 2026
Before May 2026
Before July 2026
Before Sep 2026
55
46
23
0
VB 1Y return is HIGHER than VOO return
VB 1Y return is 4.00% or more LOWER than VOO return
VB 1Y return is 4.00% or more HIGHER than VOO return
43
39
34
301
24
1 GW to 3 GW
<1 GW
3 GW to 10 GW
10 GW to 30 GW
>=30 GW
33
32
16
14
6
Jeffrey Sachs
Huey Li (and the news)
SerpentZA
Laowhy86
Nicholas Kristof
Michael Pettis
Peter Hessler
James Fallows
Kevin D Walmsley of Inside China Business
Liziqi
Nathan Rich
Living in China
Jerry Kowal
Significant effort (10k+ posts) to manipulate comment threads on hacker news.
Asia Society Policy Institute
Yale Center Beijing
Brookings Institution (China Center)
Blondie in China
Elon Musk
Bill Bishop, Sinocism
52
50
41
40