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Prediction markets for Small Cap
This question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)
Sep 30, 10:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
1.22%chance
4522933
OptionVotes
2622
895
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40%chance
2217614
OptionVotes
1099
815
OptionProbability
92
5
1
1
1
0
"Large models aren’t more capable in the long run if we can iterate faster on small models" within five years
May 4, 7:11 PMMay 4, 7:05 PM
8%chance
4229
OptionVotes
301
24
Will a furry convention have over 20,000 attendees before EOY 2026?
Jul 8, 3:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.76%chance
9132
OptionVotes
154
65
How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Oct 16, 5:51 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM
483
OptionProbability
27
23
21
19
11
Which China pundits may eventually be found to be assets of the CCP?
Jan 16, 9:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
570
OptionProbability
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
40
OptionProbability
32
15
15
15
15
9