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Prediction markets for SMI

🧑🏾 ⚒️ Will Will Smith smith?

Jan 19, 7:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.66%chance

7329339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

773

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Feb 7, 3:20 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

1.97%chance

1413593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7056

142

Will The Smiths reform before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.35%chance

52351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3312

302

Will Donald Trump deport, imprison, denaturalize, or attack Jack Smith using the powers of the US government?

Nov 9, 10:51 AMJan 23, 6:59 AM

23.38%chance

151750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1810

552

Will Will Smith be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.61%chance

13917

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1855

897

Will Will Smith smith?

Nov 25, 8:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.03%chance

26907

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

991

Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?

Nov 9, 4:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.71%chance

4700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1700

588

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.8%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

905

Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.48%chance

10140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

937

Will Dennis Smith Jr. ever play a playoff game?

Mar 1, 2:10 AMMar 8, 4:59 AM

31%chance

149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will Will Smith die

Apr 12, 2:08 AMApr 19, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

111

Will Theodore Weld Smith of moda fund win a Thiel Fellowship

Apr 25, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:01 PM

25.67%chance

26

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

54

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