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Prediction markets for SMI

🧑🏾 ⚒️ Will Will Smith smith?

Jan 19, 7:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.66%chance

7329339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

773

Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?

Feb 7, 3:20 AMAug 14, 3:59 AM

1.8%chance

1413919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7381

135

Will The Smiths reform before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

8.13%chance

62401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3362

297

Will Donald Trump deport, imprison, denaturalize, or attack Jack Smith using the powers of the US government?

Nov 9, 10:51 AMJan 23, 6:59 AM

19.07%chance

172000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2060

485

Will Will Smith be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.61%chance

13917

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1855

897

Will Will Smith smith?

Nov 25, 8:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.65%chance

27917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

988

Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?

Nov 9, 4:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.71%chance

4700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1700

588

Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028?

Apr 8, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.44%chance

6555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1407

711

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.8%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

905

If I investigate the Oliver Smith saga, will I think that Oliver was overall the more wronged party?

Feb 28, 7:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.92%chance

6266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.48%chance

10140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

937

Will Brett Smiley win the 2026 Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence?

Jun 2, 1:54 AMSep 12, 3:59 AM

50.6%chance

4131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

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