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Prediction markets for Software Engineer

Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?

Mar 13, 5:29 PMMar 14, 2:59 PM

47.44%chance

21250797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13499

3940

Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?

Mar 17, 11:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.59%chance

7217103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

897

Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?

Mar 16, 6:10 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

16.4%chance

9815098

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9194

4582

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?

Sep 12, 2:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

55%chance

545602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

753

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

61%chance

302497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1453

875

Will the next Claude Sonnet be better than Claude 4.5 Opus at software engineering?

Jan 16, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.14%chance

192314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1948

513

Will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries reach their 2021 levels by 2030?

Mar 28, 2:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

65%chance

181336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1273

814

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

22.57%chance

221335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

912

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2027?

Sep 12, 2:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

30.86%chance

201193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

936

TN-1 Status for Canadian Software Engineers

May 9, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:18 PM

69.01%chance

7645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3517

2659

AI models will be able to complete 20-hour software engineering tasks in 2026

Jan 2, 7:39 AMJan 5, 7:59 AM

55.49%chance

5589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1116

896

Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?

Mar 27, 5:56 PMMar 28, 4:59 AM

23.45%chance

18399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

960

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