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Prediction markets for Software Engineer

Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?

Mar 13, 5:29 PMMar 14, 2:59 PM

41.38%chance

21853778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14334

3273

Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?

Mar 17, 11:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.22%chance

7818700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1697

589

Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?

Mar 16, 6:10 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

13.55%chance

10016681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10805

4300

In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

Feb 1, 5:55 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

11.21%chance

10813288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1883

247

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?

Sep 12, 2:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

61%chance

606855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1290

657

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

36.41%chance

386361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1468

892

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

13.99%chance

261974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1866

774

Will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries reach their 2021 levels by 2030?

Mar 28, 2:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

67.7%chance

191686

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

770

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2027?

Sep 12, 2:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

30.71%chance

211198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

933

AI models will be able to complete 20-hour software engineering tasks in 2026

Jan 2, 7:39 AMJan 5, 7:59 AM

61.6%chance

10775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

790

TN-1 Status for Canadian Software Engineers

May 9, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:18 PM

69.28%chance

9705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3545

2647

Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?

Mar 27, 5:56 PMMar 28, 4:59 AM

23.85%chance

19404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

944

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