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Prediction markets for Software Engineer

Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?

Mar 13, 5:29 PMMar 14, 2:59 PM

42.01%chance

21652996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14244

3337

Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?

Mar 17, 11:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.68%chance

7818600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2043

489

Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?

Mar 16, 6:10 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

14.9%chance

9915854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9978

4437

In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

Feb 1, 5:55 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

10612423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

337

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?

Sep 12, 2:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

62.76%chance

576136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

630

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

41.49%chance

355985

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

990

US Software Engineer Union at Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, or Apple by end of 2026?

Sep 23, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.45%chance

251924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1816

782

Will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries reach their 2021 levels by 2030?

Mar 28, 2:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

65%chance

181336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1273

814

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2027?

Sep 12, 2:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

30.86%chance

201193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

936

AI models will be able to complete 20-hour software engineering tasks in 2026

Jan 2, 7:39 AMJan 5, 7:59 AM

61.6%chance

10775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

790

TN-1 Status for Canadian Software Engineers

May 9, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:18 PM

69.28%chance

9705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3545

2647

Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?

Mar 27, 5:56 PMMar 28, 4:59 AM

23.45%chance

18399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

960

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