OptionProbability
Extraction of at least 100 kg of water from an asteroid
At least 1,000 kg mined (any material)
At least 10 kg mined with mechanical drilling
An asteroid was transported into Earth orbit for mining
At least 100,000 kg mined (any material)
At least 10 kg mined with optical mining (lasers or solar reflectors)
At least 10 kg mined with explosives (including nuclear explosions)
At least 10 kg mined with biomining (breakdown by bacteria)
An asteroid was crashed on the moon for mining
At least 10 kg mined with nano-machines
95
86
80
72
66
50
39
9
6
Space Exploration
Technology
Medical/Healthcare
Fundamental research
Geopolitics
Environment and sustainability
Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid
Society
Art and culture
Human Rights
Economy
79
73
67
65
59
45
35
OptionVotes
YES
NO
195
159
1101
965
194
52
185
54
