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Prediction markets for Sooner

Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?

Feb 9, 1:29 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

1.76%chance

14771851779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137760

3686

A major publication is doing a profile on me. Will it be a hit piece?

Oct 10, 4:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.84%chance

289119599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14110

7779

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Nov 3, 6:03 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

4965395

OptionProbability

after 2049 or never

2030-2039

2040-49

before 2030

31

29

24

16

Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?

Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.37%chance

4429552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29403

3726

Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?

Oct 19, 6:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70%chance

9920833

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

1028

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

1812354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9625

2195

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.7%chance

266994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7748

3856

Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)

Jul 4, 2:35 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

81.61%chance

714548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5441

4403

If Bee switches from Vim to VScode, will she kick herself for not having done so sooner?

Apr 25, 4:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.46%chance

503009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

719

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

31771

OptionProbability

Missouri

Kansas

Other

70

28

2

What Team will win the 2025 SEC Football Championship Game (December 6th)

Jul 21, 10:07 PMDec 6, 11:59 PM

3186

OptionProbability

Alabama Crimson Tide

Texas Longhorns

Georgia Bulldogs

LSU Tigers

Oklahoma Sooners

Ole Miss Rebels

Arkansas Razorbacks

Auburn Tigers

Florida Gators

Kentucky Wildcats

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Missouri Tigers

South Carolina Gamecocks

Tennessee Volunteers

Texas A&M Aggies

Vanderbilt Commodores

26

19

16

11

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Will the 1Day Sooner Safe Air Research Alliance be active in 2025?

Nov 11, 3:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.23%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

53

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