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Top stories

WiseLink Leads US$10 Million Bitcoin Treasury Deal With Nasdaq-Listed Top Win

WiseLink Leads US$10 Million Bitcoin Treasury Deal With Nasdaq-Listed Top Win

Authors

5

9 months ago

Prediction markets for SORA

Will Sora have ads two years after launch?

Oct 1, 5:16 PMSep 30, 5:12 PM

9.36%chance

4843292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31117

3214

Will a Sora-generated video receive over 1 billion total views across social media before July 2026?

Oct 4, 5:36 AMJun 29, 10:59 PM

9.5%chance

165051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3086

324

Will OpenAI lose over $1B in Sora-related lawsuits?

Oct 4, 10:53 AMOct 4, 10:50 AM

12.95%chance

184160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3257

877

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

Oct 1, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

183364

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3621

276

Will OpenAI be sued for Copyright violations related to Sora 2?

Oct 7, 10:17 PMDec 31, 10:20 PM

88.89%chance

72405

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2829

354

Vibes will have more active users than Sora at the end of 2026

Jan 2, 7:50 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

88.99%chance

92393

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2843

352

Will OpenAI create a game-playing AI that uses Sora?

Feb 18, 1:16 AMMar 1, 7:59 AM

10.79%chance

372154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2657

517

openai sora 3 release by

Jan 16, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.6%chance

7473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

376

27

Is Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?

Mar 25, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.14%chance

12388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

41

Sora Stock (SOR)

Jan 29, 8:47 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

8189

OptionProbability

NO

YES

207

176

Open source Sora 2-level model before 2027?

Oct 1, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.51%chance

4125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

44

How many tokens does Sora use to encode one second of high-resolution video (1920*1080)? (February version)

Apr 25, 8:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

243

OptionProbability

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1800-2000

2000-2200

2200-2400

2400-2600

9400-9600

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9800-10000

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6200-6400

6400-6600

6600-6800

0-200

200-400

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600-800

800-1000

1000-1200

1200-1400

1400-1600

2600-2800

2800-3000

3000-3200

6800-7000

7000-7200

7200-7400

7400-7600

7600-7800

7800-8000

8000-8200

8200-8400

8400-8600

8600-8800

8800-9000

9000-9200

9200-9400

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