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Prediction markets for Source Music

How many listens will my songs have at the end of 2026?

Dec 5, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98390

OptionProbability

Above 10,000

Above 25,000

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

Above 250,000

Above 500,000

Above 1,000,000

99

5

3

2

1

1

1

Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?

Nov 18, 12:42 AMDec 31, 3:26 PM

76.1%chance

231771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

56

Will Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?

Feb 17, 8:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 AM

97.11%chance

51495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

580

17

AI entirely replaces indie game developers in the future?

Aug 8, 3:39 AMSep 7, 3:39 AM

8.26%chance

6541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

333

30

Chappell Roan scores Billboard #1 single in 2026?

Oct 20, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.4%chance

11450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

555

65

New Beethoven work discovered before 2030

Mar 3, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.33%chance

6401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

411

174

Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?

Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.15%chance

10392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Will DJ Cara Return In GTA VI

Sep 17, 12:51 PMNov 21, 11:59 PM

26.65%chance

285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

96

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

51.17%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

71

[Ṁ$1000 bounty per] How many errors will be found in "We Didn't Write the Weights" (199 AI-history entries) before 2027?

Oct 13, 12:23 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

00

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

4

5

Above 5

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

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