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Prediction markets for Source Music

How many listens will my songs have at the end of 2026?

Dec 5, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97184

OptionProbability

Above 10,000

Above 25,000

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

Above 250,000

Above 500,000

Above 1,000,000

99

13

7

4

2

2

1

Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?

Oct 31, 11:55 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

19.14%chance

131906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2055

487

Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?

Nov 18, 12:42 AMDec 31, 3:26 PM

76.75%chance

221770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Michael worldwide box office?

Nov 13, 1:27 PMJul 26, 3:03 PM

151571

OptionProbability

$400 million or more

$600 million or more

$800 million or more

$1 billion or more

$1.2 billion or more

100

100

100

24

1

Will Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?

Feb 17, 8:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 AM

96.06%chance

3467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

494

20

Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?

Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.19%chance

5253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

41

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Will Meshuggah play in Australia in 2026?

Aug 1, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.06%chance

499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will an AI 'TV Show' With 4+ Episodes Enjoy Total Viewership of 5 Million Per Season By October 2029?*

Oct 7, 7:17 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

58.73%chance

490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Chappell Roan scores Billboard #1 single in 2026?

Oct 20, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

191

Will AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028?

Mar 28, 4:16 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

7.92%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

95

At least 3 different songs will reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between June 14, 2026 and July 26, 2026 (7/26/26).

Jun 12, 10:37 PMJul 26, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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