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Prediction markets for Source Music

How many listens will my songs have at the end of 2026?

Dec 5, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96699

OptionProbability

Above 10,000

Above 25,000

Above 50,000

Above 100,000

Above 250,000

Above 500,000

Above 1,000,000

99

17

9

5

3

2

1

Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?

Oct 31, 11:55 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

20.73%chance

121806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1955

511

Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?

Nov 18, 12:42 AMDec 31, 3:26 PM

83.26%chance

191688

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

45

New Beethoven work discovered before 2030

Mar 3, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.8%chance

5285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

335

199

Michael worldwide box office?

Nov 13, 1:27 PMJul 26, 3:03 PM

8240

OptionProbability

$800 million or more

$400 million or more

$600 million or more

$1 billion or more

$1.2 billion or more

78

66

55

10

7

Will Drake diss Kendrick on any song on Iceman?

Feb 23, 11:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64%chance

11211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Will Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?

Feb 17, 8:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 AM

60%chance

2147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

6102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will an AI 'TV Show' With 4+ Episodes Enjoy Total Viewership of 5 Million Per Season By October 2029?*

Oct 7, 7:17 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

58.73%chance

490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?

Jan 20, 2:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.22%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

78

Chappell Roan scores Billboard #1 single in 2026?

Oct 20, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

191

Will Meshuggah play in Australia in 2026?

Aug 1, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.83%chance

349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

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