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Prediction markets for South group

Has Taj Quantum invented a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor?

Jul 30, 9:42 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

2.47%chance

13786084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6605

1742

Will the Cape declare independence before 2030?

Sep 23, 1:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

6.51%chance

2931047

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2125

819

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.3%chance

734299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

601

2026 T20 men’s World Cup continent contest (group stage points)

Jan 11, 9:18 PMMar 11, 11:59 PM

52486

OptionProbability

Asia - hosts

Oceania

Asia - others

Europe

Africa

Americas

31

29

22

10

5

3

Which country will win the 2027 Cricket World Cup

Jul 22, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41698

OptionProbability

India

Australia

Other

South Africa

England

32

21

20

14

14

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.75%chance

161070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

940

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.85%chance

7963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

998

Public coup attempt against a South American government?

May 6, 2:12 PMMay 6, 2:10 PM

22.51%chance

11625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

Will the Group of Seven (G7) add a country before 2030?

May 21, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.44%chance

6300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

933

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.66%chance

6187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

T20 World Cup - Group D Order of Top 2 finishers

Feb 5, 12:14 AMFeb 21, 11:59 PM

140

OptionProbability

NZ first, SA second

NZ first, AFG second

SA first, NZ second

SA first, AFG second

AFG first, NZ second

AFG first, SA second

Other

27

23

20

8

8

8

8

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

33

33

33

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