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Top stories

Washington Edges Braintree 3–2, Ends Historic Little League Run

Washington Edges Braintree 3–2, Ends Historic Little League Run

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Southwest

Next airline to default

Nov 20, 7:54 PMDec 20, 7:47 PM

1621915

OptionProbability

JetBlue

No default amongst those listed before 2030

Frontier

Bermudair

Avelo

United

American

Southwest

Alaska

Air Canada

Ryanair

Qantas

Cathay Pacific

KLM

Turkish Airlines

Qatar Airlines

Virgin Atlantic

Iberia

LATAM

Aeromexico

Allegiant Air

Breeze

Sun Country

Lufthansa

Emirates

Singapore Airlines

ANA

Air New Zealand

23

17

17

5

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Minneapolis Green Line Extension opens in 2027?

Oct 27, 3:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

85.28%chance

103909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2407

415

Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?

Oct 3, 2:38 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.02%chance

23881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

834

Will one of the Big Four airlines go bankrupt, be acquired, or cease operations before EOY 2026?

Dec 24, 9:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.23%chance

19795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

388

120

Where will AF be living on 8/19/29?

Aug 20, 1:56 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

5760

OptionProbability

NYC

New York State

Anywhere in Israel

Somewhere in NJ

Jerusalem

The American Southwest

Bay Area

Quebec

79

71

57

39

32

29

27

21

Will I face a foul fate for the folly of foraging forays in 2026?

Jul 23, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.45%chance

11419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

46

Will Nirvanna The Band The Show The Movie be nominated for an Oscar?

Apr 11, 3:06 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

10.78%chance

8284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Will any major US airlines allow one free checked bag domestically by 2030?

Apr 25, 1:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.02%chance

8159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

95

Will Marc Lore's planned city of Telosa begin construction before 2030?

May 1, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.35%chance

6104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will the median center of the US population still be in Indiana in 2030?

Apr 15, 6:51 AMApr 22, 6:59 AM

54.61%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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